Middle Powers After The mMiddle-Power Moment

Contemporary understanding of middle-power diplomacy is tied to a bygone era. Behavioural characteristics like activist diplomacy, coalition building, niche diplomacy and good international citizenship, which underpin norm entrepreneurship, always ultimately relied upon the support of the dominant power. That era may be over, and hopes of a revival rest on the illusion of a middle-power moment. […]

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The Generals Are Turning On Trump

President Donald Trump’s fraught relations with senior military officers ratcheted up another notch as Gen. Mark Milley, the top U.S. general, formally apologized for appearing in Trump’s June 1 photo-op at St. John’s Episcopal Church after police and National Guard officers fired rubber bullets and tear gas to clear protesters from nearby Lafayette Square, across from the […]

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Australia, India Join Forces In A Flex At China

China has drawn Australia into its security tensions with India after New Delhi and Canberra signed a defence accord that could see their two military forces sharing facilities in sea straits hotly contested by Beijing. As China and India mobilise more troops and equipment along their fractious Himalayan border, the Chinese Communist Party-backed Global Times […]

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The Chip Wars Of The 21st Century

Controlling advanced chip manufacturing in the 21st century may well prove to be like controlling the oil supply in the 20th. The country that controls this manufacturing can throttle the military and economic power of others. The United States recently did this to China by limiting Huawei’s ability to outsource its in-house chip designs for manufacture by […]

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The Shape Of Asia’s New Cold War

China’s decision to demolish the “one country, two systems” arrangement in Hong Kong appears to be a fait accompli, and in fact seems to have been preordained. Viewed in a broader context, the move represents a major salvo in a new cold war that is already playing out across three critical dimensions. Read Here – […]

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When Astrologers Rule

There is no science for making decisions when facing uncertainty. “Incalculable risks” are just that—incalculable. The best way to manage uncertainty is to rely on information drawn from a variety of independently financed and conducted experiments, rather than relying on a single, seemingly legitimate answer—whether from the stars or from data points. But politicians too often want […]

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The Pandemic And Political Order

The global distribution of power will continue to shift eastward, since East Asia has done better at managing the situation than Europe or the United States. Even though the pandemic originated in China and Beijing initially covered it up and allowed it to spread, China will benefit from the crisis, at least in relative terms. Read Here […]

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