US To Suffer More If It Decouples With China

The US president’s threat of totally “cutting off” relations with China to save $500 billion a year is bad economics. Over the past two years of the trade conflict, China has been steadily reducing the US’ share in bilateral trade. From January to April of 2020, the US share in China’s total trade fell to […]

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The Over-militarization Of American Foreign Policy

U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to go it alone in responding to the coronavirus pandemic is but the latest manifestation of the United States’ waning global leadership. Even before the virus struck, there was broad bipartisan agreement that Washington should reduce its commitments abroad and focus on problems at home. The economic and social toll […]

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Deglobalization Will Hurt Growth Everywhere

Even if the United States turns a blind eye to deglobalization’s effects on the rest of the world, it should remember that the current abundant demand for dollar assets depends heavily on the vast trade and financial system that some American politicians aim to shrink. If deglobalization goes too far, no country will be spared. […]

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From China To India

Who will take China’s place? The obvious first option is India, a country with a massive, diverse and generally poor population, but which has a degree of discipline and entrepreneurialism, similar to China in 1980. India, however, is not in a take-off situation. It is the fifth-largest economy in the world and is also a […]

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Why Are Stocks Soaring In The Middle Of A Pandemic?

The contrast seems grotesque. A deadly pandemic has shut down the global economy and left millions of workers furloughed, fired, or stranded without gigs. The future for most businesses looks uncertain to dismal. Yet U.S. stock indices are near all-time highs, at giddy valuations comparable to the 2000 dot-com bubble and 1929. Read Here – […]

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How We Broke The World

If recent weeks have shown us anything, it’s that the world is not just flat. It’s fragile. And we’re the ones who made it that way with our own hands. Just look around. Over the past 20 years, we’ve been steadily removing man-made and natural buffers, redundancies, regulations and norms that provide resilience and protection […]

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