The Geography Of Poverty

WHERE do the world’s poor live? The obvious answer: in poor countries. But in a recent series of articles Andy Sumner of Britain’s Institute of Development Studies showed that the obvious answer is wrong*. Four-fifths of those surviving on less than $2 a day, he found, live in middle-income countries with a gross national income […]

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New Waves Of Urbanization And Re-balancing Of Industries Will Sustain China’s Economic Growth, Argues Stephen S. Roach

Concern is growing that China’s economy could be headed for a hard landing. The Chinese stock market has fallen 20 percent over the past year, to levels last seen in 2009. Continued softness in recent data – from purchasing managers’ sentiment and industrial output to retail sales and exports – has heightened the anxiety. Long […]

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Falling Prices Of Companies In The West Due To Weak Economic Outlook Is Prompting Chinese Companies To Spread Their Acquisition Spree. Cause For Fear?

A PwC report said that Chinese investors continue the momentum of M&A activity across the world in 2012. In the first half, the volume of announced investments in company shares and acquisitions added up to $23.9 billion, trebling the number in the same period last year. The largest transaction was the purchase of the American theater […]

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Economics In Denial

In an exasperated outburst, just before he left the presidency of the European Central Bank, Jean-Claude Trichet complained that, “as a policymaker during the crisis, I found the available [economic and financial] models of limited help. In fact, I would go further: in the face of the crisis, we felt abandoned by conventional tools.” Read […]

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Indonesia: The Downside of Decentralization

Over the past decade and a half, Indonesia’s democratic transition has been praised (including by me)  as one of the most impressive of any developing country in the world. The distance traveled from the chaos, and potential split-up of the country, in the late 1990s, to the relative stability and high growth of today, is […]

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Everything You Think You Know About China Is Wrong

For the last 40 years, Americans have lagged in recognizing the declining fortunes of their foreign rivals. In the 1970s they thought the Soviet Union was 10 feet tall — ascendant even though corruption and inefficiency were destroying the vital organs of a decaying communist regime. In the late 1980s, they feared that Japan was […]

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