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looking beyond borders

foreign policy and global economy

Archive for the category “China”

Dangerous Demographics: China’s Population Problem Will Eclipse Its Ambitions

China’s seemingly inexorable rise has hit a roadblock: demographics. And despite desperate efforts to reverse the effects of the Communist Party’s one-child policy, experts warn it may be too late to prevent lasting damage. Government researchers have predicted that the world’s largest population will peak at 1.4 billion people in 2029. However, it will then experience an “unstoppable” decline that could see it drop to 1.36 billion by 2050, reducing the workforce by as much as 200 million.

Read Here – The National Interest

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Why China Went On A Global Media Blitz Over The Hong Kong Protests – And Why It Probably Won’t Work

The burst of communications was unusual. While Chinese diplomats have spoken publicly before on big issues such as the China-US trade war and the Belt and Road Initiative, it had not been on such a scale. Observers said the effort was an attempt to shape international opinion about the unrest in Hong Kong, but no matter how united the approach, the campaign was unlikely to be effective.

Read Here – South China Morning Post

What Drives Chinese Arms Sales In Central Asia?

Indeed, with the collapse of a purported Sino-Russian economic-military division of labor, a growing economic interest in Central Asia as a main corridor in the Belt and Road Initiative, and an on-going anti-Uyghur separatist discourse, Central Asia is an obvious choice for a Chinese foreign military base.

Read Here – The Diplomat

Are Chinese Companies Using Cambodia To Evade US tariffs?

Chinese companies appear to be trying to dodge the tariffs imposed by the United States as part of a punishing trade war by redirecting their shipments through Cambodia. China’s exports to Southeast Asian country have been steadily rising since start of trade war. Meanwhile, Cambodia’s exports to US in first three months of 2019 rose 22 per cent to US$820 million.

Read Here – South China Morning Post

China Will Rein In Hong Kong Through Its Economy

Just what form “struggle” will take in Hong Kong remains uncertain. In the end, Xi must make the difficult choice between his political instincts: crack down on Hong Kong’s unruly dissenters and bring them to heel or tolerate an uncomfortable degree of continued autonomy as the price of preserving the city’s important role in the Chinese economy—especially regarding financial links to the outside world. He can’t have both.

Read Here – The National Interest

Xi Singles Out Hong Kong, Macau And Taiwan As Major Risks For Chinese Communist Party

Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan have been singled out by Chinese President Xi Jinping as major risks and challenges that Communist Party members must “struggle against”. In a speech to officials on Tuesday, Xi listed a number of challenges facing the country, even putting this specific category ahead of “foreign affairs” despite the global economic and strategic challenges China faces, including the trade war with the United States.

Read Here – South China Morning Post

Standing Up To Beijing, 30 Years Apart

Hong Kongers have long had an uneasy relationship with the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) because of the party’s attitude toward the city, which has been to extract as many economic benefits from it as possible, with little or no concern for those who live there.

Read Here – The Atlantic

Trump’s Face-Changing Used To Rattle China, But Time Is Now On Beijing’s Side

To Chinese observers, the US president’s rapid flip-flops on Xi Jinping and the imposition of tariffs are giving off hints of desperation. China has learned its lesson by not dancing to Trump’s tune, and instead can afford to hunker down for a drawn-out negotiating process.

Read Here – South China Morning Post

Is Affluent, Quiet Macau China’s New Unification Golden Child?

As Hong Kong’s streets were choked with tear gas, petrol bombs and water cannons in a dramatic escalation of clashes over the weekend, just an hour’s ferry ride away in Macau all was going to Beijing’s plan. On Sunday, 400 members of the gambling hub’s pro-Beijing elite went ahead as expected and “elected” former legislature head Ho Iat-seng, the only candidate on the ballot, as the city’s next leader.

Read Here – South China Morning Post

How Long Will China’s Soaring Growth Last?

To present and future Chinese leaders, managing economic change while maintaining social stability is much more important than figuring out how to respond to the social media rumblings of a sitting US president. For an economy as much as an individual, too much of a good thing can be detrimental. In the run-up to the global financial crisis, China’s economy, and more importantly, Chinese jobs, depended on exports.

Read Here – Chatam House

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