China Is Not Russia; Taiwan Is Not Ukraine
The differences between each are stark enough that we can draw few useful parallels from the Ukraine War for Taiwan. Read More Here
The differences between each are stark enough that we can draw few useful parallels from the Ukraine War for Taiwan. Read More Here
Neither side can fulfill its maximal war aims: Russia cannot conquer all of Ukraine and Ukraine cannot comprehensively eject Russian forces. Read More Here
Westerners regard Russia’s war as an attack on the rules-based order, but Chinese scholars see it as another harbinger of the denouement of US hegemony. While Americans and Europeans can argue with this position, it would be a mistake not to take it seriously. Read More Here
Greeks and other southern Europeans could now be feeling schadenfreude as Germany faces the collapse of its economic model in the face of the Ukraine war and the new cold war with China. But with a democratic Europe in the balance, this is no time to gloat. Read More Here
If Europe is willing to pay the price of expensive LNG imports, it could severely undermine Russia’s ability to earn hard currency via gas exports to finance the war in Ukraine. But this would carry high costs for Europe, too. Read More Here
France’s Emmanuel Macron was sworn in for his second term as president on Saturday, promising to lead the country with a “new method” as his political rivals kicked off campaigning for next month’s legislative elections. Read More Here
Neutrality backed by informal cooperation with NATO long served Sweden’s security interests well. But Russia’s war against Ukraine has upended old assumptions, and the resulting shift in Swedish public opinion, together with pro-NATO developments in neighbouring Finland, points to an imminent application to join the Alliance. Read More Here
The war is a serious setback to Europe’s strong yet incomplete recovery from the pandemic, which left private consumption and investment well below pre-coronavirus forecasts, even as fiscal and monetary support underpinned an impressive rebound in employment almost to levels last seen before the pandemic.
The French mainstream has failed to counter the far right’s pessimism about the state of the country. Americans and others are making the same mistake. Read More Here
For months, the result of the French presidential election looked almost like a done deal, with President Emmanuel Macron widely expected to win a second term, but he is now grappling with a late surge by his main rival, far-right candidate Marine Le Pen. Read More Here