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looking beyond borders

foreign policy and global economy

Archive for the tag “demography”

The Population Bust

For most of human history, the world’s population grew so slowly that for most people alive, it would have felt static. Between the year 1 and 1700, the human population went from about 200 million to about 600 million; by 1800, it had barely hit one billion. Then, the population exploded, first in the United Kingdom and the United States, next in much of the rest of Europe, and eventually in Asia.

Read Here – Foreign Affairs

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Shrinking China: A Demographic Crisis

…Unfortunately for the Chinese, their country’s population is about to peak and then shrink fast. Fewer people may not necessarily mean less power, but a shriveling population requires the country’s leadership to overcome demographic trends rather than be propelled by them, as it has since the founding of the People’s Republic in 1949.

Read Here – World Affairs Journal

Gender Equality Key To Japan’s Economic Rebound

The lack of women in the workforce poses one of the biggest structural impediments to faster growth. Japan’s institutionalized sexism deepens deflation, hurts competitiveness and exacerbates the demographic trends that make Japan’s debt load so dangerous.

Read Here – Bloomberg

The Immigrant Imbroglio

For much of this year, discrimination of immigrants and racism have been hotly debated in a country where 14% of its 9.6m people are foreign born. Now the riots could make immigration and integration the pivotal debate in Swedish politics.

Read Here – The Economist

Li Visits India, Focus On Border and Business

Li’s objective is to tell wary Indians that they have nothing to fear from their powerful neighbor to the north, despite everything you’ve heard about China trying to intimidate India over disputed borders. The goal is to woo India away from the U.S. “China is trying to sell hard the idea of an independent foreign policy,” says Srikanth Kondapalli, professor in Chinese Studies at Jawaharlal Nehru University. “Which means creating kinds of enclaves and not joining the U.S. bandwagon.”

Read Here – Businessweek

 

A fortnight after Chinese troops ended their incursion into the Depsang valley in Ladakh, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and Chinese Premier Li Keqiang Monday asked their Special Representatives (SRs) to consider more measures that may be needed to maintain peace and tranquility along the border.

Read Here – Indian Express

China’s Vast Reserve Of Cheap Workers In The Hinterland Is Vanishing At A Vertiginous Pace.

We can now discern more or less when the catch-up growth miracle will sputter out. Another seven years or so – enough to bouy global coal, crude, and copper prices for a while – but then it will all be over. China’s demographic dividend will be exhausted.

Beijing revealed last week that the country’s working age population has already begun to shrink, sooner than expected. It will soon go into “precipitous decline”, according to the International Monetary Fund.

Japan hit this inflexion point fourteen years ago, but by then it was already rich, with $3 trillion of net savings overseas. China has hit the wall a quarter century earlier in its development path.

Read Here – The Telegraph, London

Inside the Secret World of the Data Crunchers Who Helped Obama Win

In late spring, the backroom number crunchers who powered Barack Obama’s campaign to victory noticed that George Clooney had an almost gravitational tug on West Coast females ages 40 to 49. The women were far and away the single demographic group most likely to hand over cash, for a chance to dine in Hollywood with Clooney — and Obama.

So as they did with all the other data collected, stored and analyzed in the two-year drive for re-election, Obama’s top campaign aides decided to put this insight to use. They sought out an East Coast celebrity who had similar appeal among the same demographic, aiming to replicate the millions of dollars produced by the Clooney contest. “We were blessed with an overflowing menu of options, but we chose Sarah Jessica Parker,” explains a senior campaign adviser. And so the next Dinner with Barack contest was born: a chance to eat at Parker’s West Village brownstone.

Read Here – Time

Decline Of The Asian Family: Drop In Marriages, Births, Threatens Economic Ascendancy

In the last half century, East Asia emerged as the uber-performer on the global economic stage. The various countries in the region found success with substantially different systems: state-led capitalism in South Korea, Singapore and Japan; wild and wooly  competitive, entrepreneur-led growth in Taiwan and Hong Kong; and more recently, what Deng Xiaoping once described as “socialism with Chinese characteristics.”

Read Here – Forbes

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