China GDP To Surpass US Around 2035, Goldman Sachs Predicts

World’s second-largest economy is expected to have ‘significantly higher’ GDP growth potential than the United States in the coming years, but demographic factors such as its rapidly ageing population could keep China’s potential growth rate below that of its Asian peers such as India and the Philippines. Read More Here

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How India Can Sustain Rapid Economic Growth

Given its favourable demography, democratic polity, and large and diversified economy, India can in principle grow at 7% or higher for years to come. But the only route to such growth that remains open runs through structural reforms that the government has taken off the table. Read More Here

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From Great Moderation To Great Stagflation

For decades, relative global stability, sound economic-policy management, and the steady expansion of trade to and from emerging markets combined to keep costs down. But now all these conditions have been overturned, and the world is settling into a dangerous and destabilizing new regime. Read More Here

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How Poverty Ends

For all the worries today about the explosion of inequality in rich countries, the last few decades have been remarkably good for the world’s poor. Between 1980 and 2016, the average income of the bottom 50 percent of earners nearly doubled, as this group captured 12 percent of the growth in global GDP. Read Here […]

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The Future Of Economic Growth

Given the failures to foresee the 2008 financial crisis and subsequent weak recovery, it is easy to think that economists have little to offer in the way of predictions. But when it comes to national-level GDP growth, past projections have largely been borne out; even when wrong, they can be used to diagnose structural problems. […]

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China Struggles To Slay Its Industrial Zombies

The only way China can hope to prevent the looming environmental disaster lurking behind its current economic difficulties is embracing deindustrialization and a much lower growth model than it has had until now. That’s bad news for the developed and developing world alike. Read Here – The National Interest

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