The Coming Economic Shift?

The dispute between Japan and China over the Senkaku / Diaoyu islandscontinues to simmer. Even as International Monetary Fund (IMF) chief Christine Lagarde warned about the dangers to the global economyshould the dispute escalate, the fallout from the squabble continues to build momentum.  There was always going to be a risk of economic consequences for both […]

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History Offers Tips for Getting a Handle on Public Debt

Countries battling high public debt must combine policies that support economic growth with lasting changes in government spending and taxation, a new study by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concludes. A chapter in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook notes that public debt has surpassed 100 percent of GDP in Japan, the United States, and several European countries in recent […]

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The worsening of China’s terms of trade will play a fundamental role in reducing its trade surplus in future

China’s 12th five-year Plan calls for a shift in the country’s economic model from export-led growth towards greater reliance on domestic demand, particularly household consumption. Since the Plan’s introduction, China’s current-account surplus as a share of gross domestic product (GDP) has indeed fallen. But does that mean that China’s adjustment is on track? According to […]

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A New Model For Foreign Aid

Critics often assert — now more than ever — that money spent on international development is money that is wasted. They argue that it’s squandered on bad projects, that it bypasses the neediest or is spent in countries with governments that don’t serve their people. But not all foreign aid is guaranteed — and nor […]

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Scaremongering: Europe’s Crisis Will Be Followed By A More Devastating One, Likely Beginning In Japan

This summer, many government officials and private investors finally seemed to realize that the crisis in the euro zone was not some passing aberration, but rather a result of deep-­seated political, economic, and financial problems that will take many years to resolve. The on-again, off-again euro turmoil has already proved immensely damaging to nearly all Europeans, […]

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Why Germany Should Lead or Leave

There is a parallel between the ongoing euro crisis and the international banking crisis of 1982. Back then, the International Monetary Fund saved the global banking system by lending just enough money to heavily indebted countries; default was avoided, but at the cost of a lasting depression. Latin America suffered a lost decade, writes George […]

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