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looking beyond borders

foreign policy and global economy

Archive for the tag “One-child policy”

China’s Self-Inflicted Demographic Disaster Is Here

The liberalization of the one-child policy had been expected—and virtually inevitable. China, after all, is heading toward accelerated demographic decline. The country’s population is now projected to peak in 2028, well before the 2030–2035 timeframe expected just a half decade ago. In all probability, the top will be reached earlier, maybe in 2020.

Read Here – The National Interest

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Shrinking China: A Demographic Crisis

…Unfortunately for the Chinese, their country’s population is about to peak and then shrink fast. Fewer people may not necessarily mean less power, but a shriveling population requires the country’s leadership to overcome demographic trends rather than be propelled by them, as it has since the founding of the People’s Republic in 1949.

Read Here – World Affairs Journal

Baby Boom Bears Down On Beijing

Beijing lawmakers and sociologists have urged the government  to prepare for a possible baby boom after the capital relaxes its family planning policy next year.

Read Here – Xinhua

Rising China? Responsible China?

The Chinese Communist Party’s Third Plenum released its plan for reforms, including moving toward the free market in allocating resources, abolishing prison reeducation, easing the one-child restriction for some families and eliminating local control over the judiciary. Despite such guidance on reforms, though, the plan is also designed to strengthen the party’s control, writes journalist Frank Ching.

Read Here – YaleGlobal

Finally, The Second Kid in China

China is finally dropping its one-child policy for around one-third of the population: couples that are urban and Han Chinese in which one parent is an only child. (Couples that are rural, non-Han, or where both parents were only children were already allowed to have two kids.) The policy will remain in force only for urban Han parents who were both the product of two-child homes—a fairly small proportion.

Read Here – The Atlantic

Will More Babies Make China Sing Louder?

With about 20 per cent of the world’s population, China has a strange problem: there are more boys than girls (sounds a bit like the situation in many parts of India) and it’s a population that is getting old faster than it should be if China still wants to keep growing its economy on the back of a large workforce. An ageing population coupled with a shrinking workforce is a recipe for disaster. Apparently China could have added 400 million to its population in the past three decades if the single-child policy wasn’t in place.

Read Here – BusinessWorld

China’s Shrinking Pool of Workers May Limit Economy’s Recovery

China’s growth rebound may be capped by a labor-force squeeze and shrinking resources that leave the government satisfied with rates of expansion as low as half the peak during the past decade.

A pace of 7 percent to 8 percent reflects economic forces, Ma Jiantang, head of the National Bureau of Statistics, said on Jan. 18 after reporting 7.9 percent expansion in the fourth quarter from a year earlier. He said a decline last year in the working-age population was of “great importance.”

Ma’s comments bolster the contention that China’s economy is permanently downshifting a gear as its one-child policy drives down the labor force. Slower growth presents challenges for incoming leaders Xi Jinping and Li Keqiang, and may limit the country’s potential as a market for everything from Australianiron ore to German machinery.

Read Here – Bloomberg

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