Will the energy crisis hit global economy harder than Covid?
Emergency reserves are cushioning the blow for now, but if Iran war drags on, shortages will quickly spread misery worldwide. Read More Here
Tag: inflation
The Outlook for the US Economy in 2026
Although there was a massive boom in AI-related investments in 2025, policy-induced uncertainties and disruptions to official data releases clouded the picture. With a new year fast approaching, the US economy could find itself on one of three possible paths, with the most likely scenario also being the most positive. Read More Here
Why Interest Rates Matter
The Federal Reserve’s primary economic policy tool is also a macro-signal of the economy’s health. Read More Here
China Sets GDP Target at About 5% Despite Trump Tariffs
Beijing sets an ambitious economic growth goal of around 5% this year, lowers CPI target to around 2% for first time in more than 20 years and aims for a fiscal deficit target of around 4% of GDP, highest in over three decades. Read More Here Also Read: 8 takeaways from Premier Li Qiang’s work […]
‘Two sessions’ set to unveil China’s top economic priorities for this year
GDP growth and inflation targets set to be unveiled alongside steps to boost domestic consumption as trade tensions with US increase. Read More Here
Global Commodity Prices Set to Fall Through 2026 Amid Historic Oil Glut
Global commodity prices are set to tumble to a five-year low in 2025 amid an oil glut that is so large that it is likely to limit the price effects even of a wider conflict in the Middle East, according to the World Bank’s latest Commodity Markets Outlook. Even so, overall commodity prices will remain 30% higher […]
China’s Rebalancing Imperative
China’s deeply entrenched countercyclical policy mindset is misaligned with its structural challenges: mounting deflationary risks, exacerbated by the lethal interplay between a rapidly aging population and serious productivity problems. Read More Here
Global Economy Remains Resilient Despite Uneven Growth, Challenges Ahead
Policymakers should prioritize steps toward greater economic resilience such as strengthening government finances and revitalizing economic growth prospects. Read More Here
The Global Recovery Is Faltering
Even as inflationary pressures ease, geopolitical tensions and structural factors such as unfavorable demographics and high debt levels have taken a toll on household and business confidence worldwide. The challenge for governments is to rebuild confidence and enhance productivity, which remain essential to getting the global recovery back on track. Read More Here
Dollar Relief in 2023
In 2022, a confluence of shocks reduced economic growth and simultaneously boosted inflation, causing investors to flee to dollar-denominated assets. Now, as fears about inflation and monetary policy begin to abate, the dollar should start to depreciate, adding a bright spot to the global growth outlook. Read More Here
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