Global Economy Endures War Shock—So Far
An overall resilient world economy masks significant differences among countries and regions. Energy importers and countries with limited policy space are most vulnerable. Read More Here
Tag: war
Iran’s New Grand Strategy
How a remade Islamic Republic will reshape the Middle East. Read More Here
The Iran Stalemate Could Be the Next Oil Supercycle Trigger
Oil prices could rise sharply in the second half of the year, as emergency stockpiles are depleted, global inventories fall, and Middle Eastern supply disruptions persist. Read More Here
A World Distracted by Middle East Turmoil Should Focus on Africa
The world is distracted. The war in the Middle East has fractured supply chains, unsettled oil markets, and redirected the gaze of policymakers and investors toward the Gulf and beyond. Yet while global attention fixates on conflict, a quieter, more consequential story is unfolding across 54 nations and 1.4 billion people. Africa — long mischaracterized […]
The Iran War will drain the Gulf’s $6trn treasure chest
The conflict complicates life for the custodians of Middle Eastern oil fortunes. Read More Here
The Doomed Road to Tehran
Policymakers have not understood that the Iran War is more akin to Vietnam than Iraq. Read More Here
Mossadegh | The Shah | Khomeini | Khamenei: Four Spirits That Haunt the Space Between Iran and America
In the Persian language, the word ruh carries a weight that the English word ‘spirit’ only partially translates. It is at once the animating breath of the living and the residual force of the dead. The ruh does not simply vanish when its vessel is extinguished. It permeates the world it once shaped, bending the […]
America Has Lost the Arab World
Wars in Gaza, Iran, and elsewhere have Sunk Washington’s reputation—maybe for good. Read More Here
Trump’s Ceasefire Still Leaves the US and Iran Mired in Quandary
US President Donald Trump has two weeks to figure out whether he’s untangled the knot he created in Iran, or just pulled it tighter. Read More Here
Why Iran Is Beating America
The “asymmetric cost” model—a war the US starts will ultimately cost the other side far more—has proven vital to sustain the illusion of American invincibility and to limit domestic political resistance to US military adventurism. Now, Iran has broken it. Read More Here
