ALL the pollsters say that the party led by Binyamin Netanyahu, Israel’s incumbent prime minister, is set to win the most seats in a general election on January 22nd, and that he will probably, after the haggling that usually lasts several weeks, keep his post at the head of a nationalist-religious coalition government. Given Israel’s system of extreme proportional representation, whereby any party winning 2% of the national vote gets a seat in the 120-member parliament, new combinations may yet appear that could alter the shape and thrust of government. But, if the pollsters are right, the odds are that a revamped coalition led by Mr Netanyahu will be even less keen than the outgoing one was on a two-state solution to Israel’s conflict with the Palestinians.

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