This new crisis—and the attack that provoked it—should come as no surprise, given two notable trends over the last few years. First, JeM has been resurging after a period of relative inactivity, along with the public re-emergence of its leader, Masood Azhar…The other trend that makes the current India-Pakistan crisis unsurprising is the changing dynamics of instability in Jammu and Kashmir where the nature of the insurgency has shifted and become more locally driven in recent years…

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Also Read: Drivers, Decisions, Dilemmas: Understanding The Kashmir Crisis And Its Implications